After the 2025 Mexico City Grand Prix, we have a dramatic shift: Lando Norris leads the Drivers’ Championship with 357 points, just one ahead of his teammate Oscar Piastri (356). Max Verstappen now sits third with 321 points — still in sight but needing a surge.
In the Constructors’ standings, McLaren are effectively champions but the fight for second is on: Ferrari at 356 points, Mercedes at 355 points and Red Bull on 346.
With four races (and two sprints) left, there’s up to 116 points still available for drivers. Let’s run through each remaining Grand Prix — form, history, prediction — and then the end-of-season outcomes.
Brazilian Grand Prix (Interlagos)
Form & history:
Interlagos is known for its altitude, unpredictable weather and a challenging layout favouring strong braking and traction. McLaren have shown pace in similar conditions lately, and Norris in particular looks confident.
Prediction:
– Winner: Norris — he holds the momentum and McLaren are currently the benchmark.
– Podium: Norris, Verstappen, Piastri
– Key battle: Piastri needs to finish close to Norris; if he slips back he’ll fall away quickly.
Reasoning: Norris’ form + McLaren momentum + Piastri’s slight dip = Norris stays on top.
Las Vegas Grand Prix (Street Circuit)
Form & history:
This new venue introduces a street layout, high demand for precision, braking stability, and good traction. Historically, teams with strong kerb handling and chassis stability shine here. McLaren and Ferrari have been strong on such tracks; Red Bulls, Max Verstappen has shown his class on street circuits this season
Prediction:
– Winner: Charles Leclerc — Ferrari pick their moment here.
– Podium: Leclerc, Norris, Verstappen
Reasoning: Ferrari need a win to keep hold of their P2 in the constructors; Leclerc has momentum and McLaren might not be able to match the Ferrari around this track
Qatar Grand Prix (Lusail)
Form & history:
Lusail often features night conditions, tyre warm-up challenges and powertrain endurance. Red Bull usually excel in power hierarchy but McLaren will be close behind in a three-way fight for the win.
Prediction:
– Winner: Max Verstappen — Red Bull strike back.
– Podium: Verstappen, Norris, Piastri
Reasoning: Verstappen under pressure now, and Red Bull specialise in these conditions. McLaren still win points but decide to polish rather than gamble.
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix (Yas Marina)
Form & history:
The finale almost always delivers a mix of strategy, tyre gambles, and high emotion. With titles on the line, we expect a tight race. McLaren have shown they can hold nerve; Red Bull special last-weekend after losses.
Prediction:
– Winner: Lando Norris — closes it out.
– Podium: Norris, Piastri, Verstappen
Reasoning: McLaren want to finish strong; Norris currently in peak form; Piastri’s bounce-back will be strong but slight step behind.
🏆 Drivers’ Championship Prediction
1st Lando Norris – Champion
Norris’ momentum, confidence and McLaren’s package all align. He holds advantage, and Piastri’s dip opens the door.
2nd Oscar Piastri
He’s incredibly close, but a slight form wobble and internal pressure give Norris the edge.
3rd Max Verstappen
Still dangerous. If Norris falters, Verstappen will pounce — but the gap is now significant with only four races left.
Constructors’ Championship Prediction (Runner-Up)
With McLaren already dominant, the key battle is for second.
– Runner-up: Ferrari — Leclerc’s form and their recent updates give them the edge.
– Red Bull due to Verstappen will jump Mercedes and finish 3rd in the WCC.
Takeaways & Watch-Points
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Momentum matters: Norris’ recent wins shift psychological advantage.
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Teammate vs teammate: McLaren have internal tension (Norris vs Piastri) which could influence results.
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Versatility: Wins must come on variety of circuits (street, high altitude, night); McLaren and Ferrari both look more versatile than Red Bull right now.
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Strategy & reliability: With fewer races left, mechanical issues or strategy mistakes will have outsized impact. Red Bull’s expertise in recovery is their best hope.
Final Thoughts
The final four races of the 2025 season promise to be thrilling. Here’s a concise view:
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Norris wins Brazil & Abu Dhabi → Drivers’ Champion.
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Leclerc steals the win in Vegas → boosts Ferrari’s constructors’ fight.
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Verstappen takes Qatar → reminds everyone he’s still in it.
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Ferrari finish second in Constructors; Red Bull third.
